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give obama ohio and new hampshire. i think the point i want to make about this map is a broader one and it's a criticism and an expression of bafflement about the romney campaign strategy. if you look at that map, to win to get to 270, they have to win virginia, florida, north carolina. got to win colorado. putting that together, pick off ohio or some combination of wisconsin and plus new hampshire, iowa, nevada. a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for romney. to me the issue is this. there are states on the map that could have been competitive. oregon, michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and even maybe where obama had big margins in 2008 like 15, 16-point margins but you have to go back to 2004 to see, you know, a three-point race in minnesota. a three-point race in michigan. these are states, there's a lot of flexibility in these states. if romney with all the money he had and republicans had, outside money, if they had targeted the states early with advertising and then with f
give obama ohio and new hampshire. i think the point i want to make about this map is a broader one and it's a criticism and an expression of bafflement about the romney campaign strategy. if you look at that map, to win to get to 270, they have to win virginia, florida, north carolina. got to win colorado. putting that together, pick off ohio or some combination of wisconsin and plus new hampshire, iowa, nevada. a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for...
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in ohio, a "columbus dispatch" poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. in pennsylvania, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. in wisconsin, president obama at 51% and mitt romney at 48%. in iowa, president obama at 47% and mitt romney at 42%. as of this afternoon, nate silver of "the new york times" 538 blog forecasts on november 6, president obama has an 85% chance of re-election and president obama will win 307 electoral votes and mitt romney 231. earlier today, chris matthews sat down for an exclusive with vice president joe biden. >> what do you think is going to happen? >> i think we're going to win. i don't think it's going to be close in the electoral college. i think we're going to win clearly and i think we're going to win this state, ohio. i've been in here 23, 24 days, we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. don't just vote. bring your mom, your dad, cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. let me tell you s
in ohio, a "columbus dispatch" poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 48%. in pennsylvania, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. in wisconsin, president obama at 51% and mitt romney at 48%. in iowa, president obama at 47% and mitt romney at 42%. as of this afternoon, nate silver of "the new york times" 538 blog forecasts on november 6, president obama has an 85% chance of re-election and president obama will win 307 electoral votes and...
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because barack obama if he wins ohio, he could lose virginia and florida and still win. >> they have been doubling down. they spent all of this time in ohio and because of sandy spent more time in ohio. but if we look at early voting polling that is coming out of ohio and then florida, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters there and called people in florida who were doing early vote there, a lot of what's motivating really record african-american early vote turnout in north carolina, in florida and in ohio is anger about the tone of the republican party on things like voting rights, on things like voter i.d., on what they see as voter suppression. so they're equal part defense of president obama and anger at the republican party. it's driving what looks to be potentially record early african-american vote which only helps the president. >> and lastly the president leading with overwhelming support when voters were asked does th
because barack obama if he wins ohio, he could lose virginia and florida and still win. >> they have been doubling down. they spent all of this time in ohio and because of sandy spent more time in ohio. but if we look at early voting polling that is coming out of ohio and then florida, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters...
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president obama taking bill clinton to youngstown, ohio. he's not looking to pick up young black voters with bill clinton by his side. he's looking to pick up those blue collar, those elusive white men the president has had so much trouble with. if you were involved in the campaign, would you have kept these two together on the trail or had them hit separate cities in some of the swing states? >> that's an interesting question. i think it's more powerful when president clinton is with president obama. the clinton bump, and it was literally called that following the democratic national convention in charlotte was significant because it was the first time someone got up there and said as only a president could, no president could have fixed the financial mess we were in, the economic trouble we were in in 2008 in just these 3 1/2 years. so president clinton validates the obama economic agenda. i think that it's one thing to say it when he's not with him. when theyer on the trail and able to tell people who voted for obama last time, but are m
president obama taking bill clinton to youngstown, ohio. he's not looking to pick up young black voters with bill clinton by his side. he's looking to pick up those blue collar, those elusive white men the president has had so much trouble with. if you were involved in the campaign, would you have kept these two together on the trail or had them hit separate cities in some of the swing states? >> that's an interesting question. i think it's more powerful when president clinton is with...
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there's even another scenario if you were to give president obama ohio but mitt romney squeezes out a win in wisconsin which is paul ryan's home state, and give mitt romney iowa, those are 16 electoral votes. and then we're stuck with president obama, 265, mitt romney at 264. and colorado, once again, probably the closest state right now, would be determinative with those nine electoral votes. >> and so what about the latest nbc news poll for colorado's likely voters? as we get to some of these details here, can you go through that and explain the numbers there and the changing from just earlier this month? >> yeah, well just from late september, that poll changed in just a month from 50-45 president obama to now just 48-48. as tight as it possibly could get. and the reason, though, the trend there is not good for the president. you saw a switch with suburban women. you saw a switch with women in general in the state. the thing that's keeping president obama in the game is hispanics, president obama with about a 30-point lead and they make up a slightly larger percent of the electorat
there's even another scenario if you were to give president obama ohio but mitt romney squeezes out a win in wisconsin which is paul ryan's home state, and give mitt romney iowa, those are 16 electoral votes. and then we're stuck with president obama, 265, mitt romney at 264. and colorado, once again, probably the closest state right now, would be determinative with those nine electoral votes. >> and so what about the latest nbc news poll for colorado's likely voters? as we get to some of...
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a romney ad running in ohio say this is. >> obama took gm and chrysler into bankruptcy and sold chrysler to italians who are going to build jeeps in china. >> the ad doubles down on a lie romney said himself on the stump last week. chrysler, which still manufactures jeep, also responded. jeep has no intention of shifting production of its jeep models out of north america to china. former president bill clinton is also on the case. here's the former president in youngstown, ohio, today. >> it turns out that jeep is reopening in china because they made so much money here they can afford to do it and they are going on with their plans here. they put out a statement today saying it was the biggest in the world they would ever consider shutting down american operations. they are roaring in america. >> this morning before he left florida and went back to washington, he said, you know, of all the things governor romney has said, that probably hurts my feelings the most. he said, i never had any money when i was a kid and the first new car i ever owned i was 30 years old. and it was a jeep. i wo
a romney ad running in ohio say this is. >> obama took gm and chrysler into bankruptcy and sold chrysler to italians who are going to build jeeps in china. >> the ad doubles down on a lie romney said himself on the stump last week. chrysler, which still manufactures jeep, also responded. jeep has no intention of shifting production of its jeep models out of north america to china. former president bill clinton is also on the case. here's the former president in youngstown, ohio,...
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that's why ohio is coming out for obama and biden. >> george gresham and randy white # wi and /* randi weingarten. thank you for being with us tonight. snrs ths this is a special edition of "politicsnation." live from democracy plaza. your headquarters for the election. "politicsnation." live from democracy plaza. your headquarters for the election. >>> as you can see, i have given my voice in the service of my president. >> have you joined the "politicsnation" conversation on facebook yet? the big hit of the day was our 42nd president and our 44th president, on the trail together. anthony says, i definitely wish i could have been there. pam calls them, two great presidents who care about the nation and the people. david says, the country's blessed to have them both. we want to hear what you think too. please head over to facebook and search politician nation and like us to join the conversation that keeps going, long after the show ends. [ male announcer ] wouldn't it be cool if you could combine the capability of a pathfinder with the comfort of a sedan? ♪ so you went right back to
that's why ohio is coming out for obama and biden. >> george gresham and randy white # wi and /* randi weingarten. thank you for being with us tonight. snrs ths this is a special edition of "politicsnation." live from democracy plaza. your headquarters for the election. "politicsnation." live from democracy plaza. your headquarters for the election. >>> as you can see, i have given my voice in the service of my president. >> have you joined the...
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president obama called him out on that tactic today. >> right here in ohio, folks who work at the jeep plant had been having to call up their employers because they're worried. they're asking if their jobs are being shipped to china. and the reason they're worried is because of course it turns out it's not true. this is not a game. these are people's jobs. these are people's lives. the auto industry, they spend a lot of money advertising and branding and letting folks know that we're back and we're here in america and we're making american cars with american workers. and now suddenly you got a guy going out there saying, you know, something that is not true? you don't scare hard working americans, just to scare up some votes. that's not what being president is about. >> when romney isn't buying scared voters, he's making up a fantasy about working across the aisle? >> you know that if the president is re-elected, he will still be unable to work with the people in congress. i mean, he's ignored them. he's attacked them. he's blamed them. the debt ceiling will come up again. and shut dow
president obama called him out on that tactic today. >> right here in ohio, folks who work at the jeep plant had been having to call up their employers because they're worried. they're asking if their jobs are being shipped to china. and the reason they're worried is because of course it turns out it's not true. this is not a game. these are people's jobs. these are people's lives. the auto industry, they spend a lot of money advertising and branding and letting folks know that we're back...
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mitt romney on ohio jobs, wrong then -- >> let detroit go bankrupt -- >> -- dishonest now. >> the obama campaign arranged for president clinton to make stops in minnesota, iowa, colorado, ohio, virginia, new hampshire, and wisconsin all before this race is over. we've got a new "washington post"/abc tracking poll to show you likely voters nationwide. this is the story. another poll telling us the same thing. this race is deadlocked nationally. in florida, a cnn/orc poll has romney up a point. of course, that's within the margin of error. they are tied there. in north carolina where democrats held their convention last month has it tied 45%-45%. you can e-mail me at "waytooearly and let me know what you're seeing outside your window this morning. tell me about the storm and how you're dealing with sandy. at the top of the hour with "morning joe," much more on the fallout. the storm impacting the east coast for what could be days and weeks to come. and when we come back here, we'll check out david letterman and jimmy fallon hosting their respective shows here in new york last night but do
mitt romney on ohio jobs, wrong then -- >> let detroit go bankrupt -- >> -- dishonest now. >> the obama campaign arranged for president clinton to make stops in minnesota, iowa, colorado, ohio, virginia, new hampshire, and wisconsin all before this race is over. we've got a new "washington post"/abc tracking poll to show you likely voters nationwide. this is the story. another poll telling us the same thing. this race is deadlocked nationally. in florida, a cnn/orc...
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a new quinnipiac/"new york times"/cbs news swing state poll shows president obama leading in ohio with likely voters 50% to 45%. a tighter race in virginia. president obama in 49%. mitt romney at 47% which is a statistical tie within the poll's 3% margin of error. and in florida that poll has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 47%. another statistical tie. tonight, nate silver of "the new york times" 538 blog forecasts on november 6th president obama will win 300 electoral college votes. and mitt romney will win 238. and president obama's chance of re-election ticked up tonight in nate silver's calculations to 78.4%. and finally, george w. bush has entered the presidential campaign. he did that today when he was dragged into it by his little brother in florida. >> do you honestly think that this president is capable of bringing people together? his entire strategy is to blame others. starting with my brother, of course. basically, he blames every possible thing, rather than having the humility to be able to reach out and define common ground. >> and the fight over who is the rea
a new quinnipiac/"new york times"/cbs news swing state poll shows president obama leading in ohio with likely voters 50% to 45%. a tighter race in virginia. president obama in 49%. mitt romney at 47% which is a statistical tie within the poll's 3% margin of error. and in florida that poll has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 47%. another statistical tie. tonight, nate silver of "the new york times" 538 blog forecasts on november 6th president obama will win 300...
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president obama made three different stops today in that state. then out west to springfield, ohio. then he headed north to lima, ohio. mitt romney was not going to be outdone. here is a look at another romney campaign rock concert and victory rally outside cincinnati. romney was also in wisconsin this morning, portraying himself as the candidate of change? >> the question of this election comes down to this. do you want more of the same, or do you want real change? and we bring real change. >> do you want 32 more months of private sector job growth? romney sure has a funny way of showing change, doesn't he? take a look at romney's surrogates at tonight's ohio victory rally. former secretary of state condoleezza rice, former labor secretary elaine chao, bobby jindal, tom ridge and also ohio senator rob portman. all five of these folks worked with the bush administration. in fact, mitt romney's campaign is looking more and more like the bush white house every day. romney even pulled out the old dick cheney trick of scaring voters before an election. >> the same path we're on means $2
president obama made three different stops today in that state. then out west to springfield, ohio. then he headed north to lima, ohio. mitt romney was not going to be outdone. here is a look at another romney campaign rock concert and victory rally outside cincinnati. romney was also in wisconsin this morning, portraying himself as the candidate of change? >> the question of this election comes down to this. do you want more of the same, or do you want real change? and we bring real...
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shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of the -- southwest, excu
shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states,...
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in ohio president obama leading in three points. in virginia president obama leading by one point. in florida president obama leading by two points. one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side of your screen richard mourdock. he's up against joe donnelly. since he made his rape comment at a debate a few weeks ago, in very, very, very, very red state indiana, the republican candidate is now behind in that state senate race. he's losing the race by double digits. here's the interesting thing about that poll to. it's a poll in indiana, which almost never happens. it's really weird, but nobody nationally never knows what's going on in indi
in ohio president obama leading in three points. in virginia president obama leading by one point. in florida president obama leading by two points. one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the...
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as well as a second event in ohio with vice president biden. the republican challenger mitt romney cancelled one of three campaign events on his schedule today. he did still address crowds in ohio and davenport, iowa. he held a town hall with voters in ohio by teleconference. but now romney's slate of events for tomorrow has been cleared. mr. romney's running mate paul ryan held one event in florida before cutting the day short and heading to his home in wisconsin. in terms of hurricane sandy's direct effect on next week's election, chuck todd reports tonight that the fema director craig foou gait has told states if they incur extra costs because of the storm, if they have to move polling places or bring in generators for power, should sandy cause elections officials any expensive changes, states and cities will be reimbursed for those costs by the federal government. good old disaster relief, even if one doesn't believe in that sort of thing. this is not a time for ideology. let's bring in michelle franzen in battery park in lower manhattan. e
as well as a second event in ohio with vice president biden. the republican challenger mitt romney cancelled one of three campaign events on his schedule today. he did still address crowds in ohio and davenport, iowa. he held a town hall with voters in ohio by teleconference. but now romney's slate of events for tomorrow has been cleared. mr. romney's running mate paul ryan held one event in florida before cutting the day short and heading to his home in wisconsin. in terms of hurricane sandy's...
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president obama seems to be holding a slight edge in ohio. "time" magazine poll shows the president, 49% governor romney, 44%. the poll surveyed those who will vote on election day. also polled some early voters as well. could the absentee voting situation in the buckeye state, could it change the numbers as we get closer to election day? >> oh, absolutely. at this point we've had close to a million actually cast so far. as i mentioned we have another 800,000 out. and in ohio you can still through next saturday, the saturday before the election ask for an absentee ballot application. so we've got hundreds of thousands of these coming in. and to go back to the points i made at the outset, you add all the categories of uncounted votes together and it could easily flip a 51/49, 52/48 elect the other way. >> barry, you've been covering ohio for some time. now you're more familiar with the situation than just about anyone in the country. give me odds here. give me likelihood. how do you think this thing plays out there? >> well, the polls are so c
president obama seems to be holding a slight edge in ohio. "time" magazine poll shows the president, 49% governor romney, 44%. the poll surveyed those who will vote on election day. also polled some early voters as well. could the absentee voting situation in the buckeye state, could it change the numbers as we get closer to election day? >> oh, absolutely. at this point we've had close to a million actually cast so far. as i mentioned we have another 800,000 out. and in ohio...
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the flipside, it stops a little bit of the momentum that president obama has in ohio and to a certain degree when it comes to the storm, so there are political ramifications clearly, but also some practical ramifications as well, and as ana marie said a few moments ago, chaos looms, unfortunately. >> anne, in terms of the presidential prospective, president obama just finished talking with craig fugate and the director of fema, and we're waiting for the tape to turn around. we'll get comments in a moment. how much does this help him potentially? this platform for which he is the president of the united states during a really terrible time for about a sixth of the country? >> i think robert is right. he does have a chance to look presidential, although being the president, he gets to look presidential whenever he wants. he has to pay extra mind to the storm and be seen as actually presiding over it, doing his best to make sure he's on top of it. that's a lot to ask somebody a week and a couple of days just before the election. i think that probably the bigger danger, in addition to the
the flipside, it stops a little bit of the momentum that president obama has in ohio and to a certain degree when it comes to the storm, so there are political ramifications clearly, but also some practical ramifications as well, and as ana marie said a few moments ago, chaos looms, unfortunately. >> anne, in terms of the presidential prospective, president obama just finished talking with craig fugate and the director of fema, and we're waiting for the tape to turn around. we'll get...
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ohio is at dead even. president obama had a five-point lead last month. vice president biden will join bill clinton in youngstown this afternoon. on the stump last night romney reached out to 2008 hillary clinton supporters. >> your friends may have votesed last time in the democratic primary. who knows, they may have voted for hillary clinton or barack obama. they may have voted for then candidate obama in the final election, and you need to convince them to vote for paul ryan and me. >> there's a real good feeling throughout this thing. these old buckeyes kind of see it clear. no, i really mean it. they can cut through a lot of this stuff. >> let's bring in john feary and david goodfriend. good to see you, gentlemen. good morning. david, let me ask you about mitt romney as appeal to hillary clinton veeters. could he pick off moderate democrats? >> no. in order to be a hillary clinton voter you see the world a lot differently than mitt romney says he does. i think the divisiveness the romney campaign has shown economically and frankly when it comes to wo
ohio is at dead even. president obama had a five-point lead last month. vice president biden will join bill clinton in youngstown this afternoon. on the stump last night romney reached out to 2008 hillary clinton supporters. >> your friends may have votesed last time in the democratic primary. who knows, they may have voted for hillary clinton or barack obama. they may have voted for then candidate obama in the final election, and you need to convince them to vote for paul ryan and me....
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. >> and obama at 50, not at 47%. >> and obama is at 50% in ohio, willie. >> one other note inside that "new york times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida among white voters. but in ohio, he's dead even. >> dead even. florida and virginia. >> and virginia. >> 30 points. >> think about how much of the negative bain advertising took place this summer you still see it in the numbers, doesn't care about people like me. romney's numbers are still upside down. people say governor romney doesn't care about people like them. that is still the result of a summer of pummeling in ohio by the obama campaign and the democratic super pacs which worked ohio harder, knowing that the state could be a firewall, knowing that they could hold the electoral map and take ahold of ohio. they hit him harder there than a
. >> and obama at 50, not at 47%. >> and obama is at 50% in ohio, willie. >> one other note inside that "new york times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida...
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governor romney is out with a new campaign ad in ohio that some call inaccurate and misleading. >> obama took gm and chrysler into bankruptcy and sold chrysler to italians who are going to build jeeps in china. >> what the romney campaign is saying about the ad today. we're going to be joined by former ohio governor ted strickland. we'll get a response to the polls that show the race in ohio is neck and neck. nasa released a remarkable image of hurricane sandy from space. home ominous is that i can imagine? you can monitor the latest on sandy and watch live streaming coverage of the weather channel. go to weather.com. [ female announcer ] today, jason is here to volunteer to help those in need. when a twinge of back pain surprises him. morning starts in high spirits, but there's a growing pain in his lower back. as lines grow longer, his pain continues to linger. but after a long day of helping others, he gets some helpful advice. just two aleve have the strength to keep back pain away all day. today, jason chose aleve. just two pills for all day pain relief. try aleve d for strong, all
governor romney is out with a new campaign ad in ohio that some call inaccurate and misleading. >> obama took gm and chrysler into bankruptcy and sold chrysler to italians who are going to build jeeps in china. >> what the romney campaign is saying about the ad today. we're going to be joined by former ohio governor ted strickland. we'll get a response to the polls that show the race in ohio is neck and neck. nasa released a remarkable image of hurricane sandy from space. home...
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president obama added a handful of campaign stops in swing states, ohio being one of them. is bill clinton turning into the party's go-to guy to pick up the slack of what the president obviously can't be out there doing because his attention is needed for what's taking place with sandy recovery? >> sure, if you can't have the president or the vice president, certainly bill clinton, former president clinton is at the top of the list. he is well loved and respected here in ohio and throughout much of the rest of the country, and i think he's doing a wonderful thing for the president and understanding the circumstances of this storm, but, thomas, i think both campaigns have now come down to a get out the vote effort. i don't think people will be much influenced by tv ads and going forward. i think we are in a place -- whichever campaign is most successful in actually getting their people to the polls and that will be the campaign they think will win. >> what do you think is taking place in ohio right now with the fact that mitt romney is not having campaign events and as chuck
president obama added a handful of campaign stops in swing states, ohio being one of them. is bill clinton turning into the party's go-to guy to pick up the slack of what the president obviously can't be out there doing because his attention is needed for what's taking place with sandy recovery? >> sure, if you can't have the president or the vice president, certainly bill clinton, former president clinton is at the top of the list. he is well loved and respected here in ohio and...
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seems to be all about ohio. joining me now, stephanie cutter. is it fair to say the schedule is more important to look at than the polling numbers? you guys are in ohio, wisconsin, iowa, colorado multiple times. those are the four most important states to you? >> well, we are actually hitting every battleground state. and, you know, we feel good about where we are. he's headed out to wisconsin today. he has a solid lead there. colorado we're ahead. so, you know, things are coming together. we've got several different paths to 270. we've talked about it before. i think the path for the romney campaign are really dwindling. >> you guys have talked about ohio with a lot of confidence and yet you are there four out of five days this week with the president. that doesn't -- that doesn't give off a sense of confidence. >> well, chuck, i think it does. because we're hitting several different states each day. we have some time to make up. the president was off the road several days to take care of preparations and respo
seems to be all about ohio. joining me now, stephanie cutter. is it fair to say the schedule is more important to look at than the polling numbers? you guys are in ohio, wisconsin, iowa, colorado multiple times. those are the four most important states to you? >> well, we are actually hitting every battleground state. and, you know, we feel good about where we are. he's headed out to wisconsin today. he has a solid lead there. colorado we're ahead. so, you know, things are coming...
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Oct 30, 2012
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we're a week out and we're down in ohio. he needs to find a way to make up the gap. if he really honestly stopping campaigning and president obama gets the spotlight for the next week. what has he done today? disaster relief event was held at the same place for the regularly scheduled political rally that would take place with the same cast of characters on stage with him at the regularly scheduled political rally. he's not making today an explicit pitch. sometimes saying i'm not political is one of it. there's nothing else he can do. i was all over the place yesterday, but i think my instincts were more right than i thought. >> interesting. >> it's a campaign event. >> up next, sandy is making a mess of the campaigning in another battleground state, virginia. it's our state of the day, and we'll take a look at the storm's impact on the race there next. this is what it looked like in norfolk, virginia, as the floodwaters rose. begin. tomato, obviously. haha. there's more than that though, there's a kick to it. wahlalalalallala! smooth, but crisp. it's kind of like dr
we're a week out and we're down in ohio. he needs to find a way to make up the gap. if he really honestly stopping campaigning and president obama gets the spotlight for the next week. what has he done today? disaster relief event was held at the same place for the regularly scheduled political rally that would take place with the same cast of characters on stage with him at the regularly scheduled political rally. he's not making today an explicit pitch. sometimes saying i'm not political is...
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Nov 2, 2012
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just four days to go and president obama is sprinting to the finish line with a passionate pitch to ohio voters and he's doing so by dismantling governor romney's rationale in this race one line of the obama argument, i am the guy you know. >> after four years as president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i've made, you may be frustrated sometimes at the pace of change, but you know that i say what i mean and i mean what i say. you know what i believe. you know where i stand. you know i tell the truth. and you know i fight for working families every single day as hard as i know how. >> we know what this president believes. but governor romney -- >> with these guys, it all depends on who you're talking to, where you are, what time of day it is, what state you're in, what the polls say. how the weather is. it always, always depends, everything depends. i never met more two guys who everything depends more on. i don't know what they are for, ladies and gentlemen. >> mr. romney made changes, too, depending on the weather, but not this president. this week president obama h
just four days to go and president obama is sprinting to the finish line with a passionate pitch to ohio voters and he's doing so by dismantling governor romney's rationale in this race one line of the obama argument, i am the guy you know. >> after four years as president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i've made, you may be frustrated sometimes at the pace of change, but you know that i say what i mean and i mean what i say. you know what i believe. you know where i...
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Nov 4, 2012
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the north, midwest and west back obama. the south is with romney, or is against obama. you can see this division as it works its way down from southwest pennsylvania, including part of ohio, down through west virginia. you see it in the agitation that romney and his forces are working in their ads and speeches. donald trump, who says is president is an illegal immigrant, now doing robocalls for romney. john sununu keeps calling the president lazy and un-american. and topping it off, we heard romney out here in ohio today saying the president is bent on, get this, revenge. let's begin tonight with my interview with vice president biden. i started with that high octane issue of auto production right here in ohio. >> thank you, mr. vice president, for this time. here we are in ohio. what do you make of this republican ad that's been out there running for romney saying that chrysler is going to take jeep out of this state and send it to china? >> here are the people right in this state, toledo and other places, just back up on their feet, jeep is hiring people and they put
the north, midwest and west back obama. the south is with romney, or is against obama. you can see this division as it works its way down from southwest pennsylvania, including part of ohio, down through west virginia. you see it in the agitation that romney and his forces are working in their ads and speeches. donald trump, who says is president is an illegal immigrant, now doing robocalls for romney. john sununu keeps calling the president lazy and un-american. and topping it off, we heard...
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Oct 28, 2012
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obama has a 73.6% chance of winning. it's hard to imagine a romney victory without winning ohio. okay. everybody is in ohio. it's such a bizarre undertaking to go through the map and everyone now has these nice interactive things. is that your sense of the race? my sense of the race is that it's very hard to see it not coming down to ohio if we are sitting down on election night figuring out what the call is going to be made, it looks like ohio is going to determine it. you have been around the country. i'm just curious, what sort of the mood has been in different swing districts that you have been in? you are active in all parts of the country. >> we have been active in a number of battleground states. i have most recently been to ohio and new hampshire. the mood is different depending on the day and where you go. one of the things i did not find to be true is mitt the momentum. i think what we saw in the aftermath of the first debate was romney folks feeling like it was all of a sudden okay to be proud to be out as romney voter. >> true. >> i did not see that before that. i thi
obama has a 73.6% chance of winning. it's hard to imagine a romney victory without winning ohio. okay. everybody is in ohio. it's such a bizarre undertaking to go through the map and everyone now has these nice interactive things. is that your sense of the race? my sense of the race is that it's very hard to see it not coming down to ohio if we are sitting down on election night figuring out what the call is going to be made, it looks like ohio is going to determine it. you have been around the...
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Oct 29, 2012
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the fact of the matter is over the next two days barack obama and mitt romney and also paul ryan have canceled events as far away as colorado. not just because of concerns about the storm surge, but also because of concerns about the image. this is for better or worse an image game now, and nobody wants to be seen out having fun campaigning or having a big event. >> but let me ask you about john mccain. we have recent example of john mccain, a recent example where a candidate called for an end to the campaign. he was going tocampaign. he was going to put up debates and everything else in the last election and he looked a little foolish. so tell me how that works. >> he did. >> explain. >> it's a careful balance here. when you say that you want to halt everything because there's a challenge, a disaster, an economic challenge, you better have some reason for it, something that is coming of it, and you also need to know when to restart. and that's going to be the great challenge over the next couple of days. look, the president of the united states is in an ideal position so long as the
the fact of the matter is over the next two days barack obama and mitt romney and also paul ryan have canceled events as far away as colorado. not just because of concerns about the storm surge, but also because of concerns about the image. this is for better or worse an image game now, and nobody wants to be seen out having fun campaigning or having a big event. >> but let me ask you about john mccain. we have recent example of john mccain, a recent example where a candidate called for...
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mentioned in the last segment, president obama is up in ohio. >> yes. he is right now. but karen, you got to admit a lot of the recent polls show the president losing ground in some key states. what are you hearing about the strategy inside the campaign going forward the last ten days now? >> i can tell you both campaigns at this point -- because in modern campaigns we do -- it's very sophisticated. both campaigns know exactly where the voters are that they need to turn out and if there are voters who are left to be persuade where those voters are. that's where the focus is on. obviously president obama's campaign put a lot into ground game and early voting. and i think the thing that's important to note about that is, that universe of voters is actually different than people who actually vote on election day. the people who vote in early voting are what we call sporadic voters. they might have voted on election day. they might not have. so they put a lot into that. we're going to keep putting a lot into that. i think both campaigns trying to make a big
mentioned in the last segment, president obama is up in ohio. >> yes. he is right now. but karen, you got to admit a lot of the recent polls show the president losing ground in some key states. what are you hearing about the strategy inside the campaign going forward the last ten days now? >> i can tell you both campaigns at this point -- because in modern campaigns we do -- it's very sophisticated. both campaigns know exactly where the voters are that they need to turn out and if...
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right now, ohio, if you look at about a dozen polls, has obama up by somewhere between two and three points, and there's no precedent for any, given the polling data is that rich, there's no precedent for any candidate coming this late in the campaign from behind. by two to three points. when you've got such, as i say, rich data polling, polling data in the state of ohio right now. >> and chip, here's the thing. here's the thing with ohio. not only is the president up in the buckeye state. he's been up from the beginning. governor romney hasn't led at any point in ohio. i've been on the ground in florida for a couple of days, talked to organizers and voters and the president has an advantage with in-person early voting, not as much with absentee and early in-person voting can. governor romney win the white house without ohio and without florida, chip saltzman? >> obviously without florida and without ohio, no. but i think we feel good about where we are in florida. ohio is absolutely ground zero. we can win without ohio, but, boy, is it a tough sled. i don't think i would want to try
right now, ohio, if you look at about a dozen polls, has obama up by somewhere between two and three points, and there's no precedent for any, given the polling data is that rich, there's no precedent for any candidate coming this late in the campaign from behind. by two to three points. when you've got such, as i say, rich data polling, polling data in the state of ohio right now. >> and chip, here's the thing. here's the thing with ohio. not only is the president up in the buckeye...
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Oct 31, 2012
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the conventional paths are tough because if you take ohio away, as i showed, and that's in the obama column, then he has all sorts of other problems to get to 270 and there is a necessity to find these states. and, by the way, folks, when i'm doing this, i'm not saying this is where nbc says the race is right now. i'm going through scenarios so don't overreact on twitter. i know you like to do that. one final point about the expanded battleground state maps f. romney comes up short and ohio proves to be the critical state and they didn't have any other path to 270 will they look back six months ago and say to themselves, imagine had they built an organization in pennsylvania, minnesota and michigan, suffered the idea they couldn't win, couldn't win, couldn't win but stubbornly stayed there ala obama in north carolina, and guess where north carolina is today? still tight. would they be in a better position today to take advantage of this momentum? that's a question they could be asking themselves if they come up short on election day in boston. our political panel will be here next. n
the conventional paths are tough because if you take ohio away, as i showed, and that's in the obama column, then he has all sorts of other problems to get to 270 and there is a necessity to find these states. and, by the way, folks, when i'm doing this, i'm not saying this is where nbc says the race is right now. i'm going through scenarios so don't overreact on twitter. i know you like to do that. one final point about the expanded battleground state maps f. romney comes up short and ohio...
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still, obama is ahead in most polls of ohio he is ahead in most polls of iowa, wisconsin, and nevada as well and those four states. >> rose: by two or three points. >> two or three-point not an overwhelming margin but you can look historically and how often does a candidate who has a two or three-point lead in an election, does he how often does he convert that to a win and the answer is about 75 percent of the time. >> rose: so you said 75 percent likely obama will be elected? >> that's right because the states are what we call the tipping point states that would swing the electorial college margin he has a two or three-point lead, so it is not for sure but we can use statistics and data that just look up how often those lead translate into a win. > > rose: zero so is critical point here is that many people say paul, david brooks wrote a column. >> sure. >> as you know basically saying a poll is a paragraph of a moment in time. >> right. >> rose: period. >> uh-huh. >> rose: no prophecy from that. >> my understanding, what you say is, yes, no prophecy, but you can look and reference
still, obama is ahead in most polls of ohio he is ahead in most polls of iowa, wisconsin, and nevada as well and those four states. >> rose: by two or three points. >> two or three-point not an overwhelming margin but you can look historically and how often does a candidate who has a two or three-point lead in an election, does he how often does he convert that to a win and the answer is about 75 percent of the time. >> rose: so you said 75 percent likely obama will be...
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Oct 31, 2012
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not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the, differ on the democrat grafnls and statistical uncertainty as well. >> depending on the model the poll uses will affect the result. >> a different hype these almost. >> .. if you assume a more vigorous turnout because obama has good ground game for example those have him winning, no more at that like opportunity thousand ten environment where republican enthusiasm prevail they have a very tight in ohio instead. >> rose: okay. but do you say when you look at all of these polls, i have noted you are a statistician, you noted in the polling you measure other polls? >> rightment. >> rose: do you measure t
not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the,...
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take a look at the latest national polls of the president obama has just a one-point lead among likely voters. three new swing state polls show the president still in the lead, although with a margin that is shrinking in florida, virginia and ohio. and instead of campaigning, the president went to the red cross in washington, d.c., yesterday. >> this is a tough time for a lot of people. millions of folks all across the eastern seaboard. but america is tougher. and we're tougher because we pull together, we leave nobody behind, we make sure that we respond as a nation and remind ourselves that whenever an american is in need, all of us stand together to make sure that we're providing the help that's necessary. >> mitt romney will resume a full campaign schedule today, stumping in florida. he held a disaster relief event yesterday in ohio. >> we've got people right now that are having some hard times because of this terrible hurricane and the storm that followed it, and your generosity will make a difference. so i want to thank you. >> i want to bring in usa today's washington bureau chi
take a look at the latest national polls of the president obama has just a one-point lead among likely voters. three new swing state polls show the president still in the lead, although with a margin that is shrinking in florida, virginia and ohio. and instead of campaigning, the president went to the red cross in washington, d.c., yesterday. >> this is a tough time for a lot of people. millions of folks all across the eastern seaboard. but america is tougher. and we're tougher because we...
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. >> i was supposed to be the warmup man for president obama today. but that storm on the east coast had other ideas. >> governor romney canceled his schedule tonight but today he was still campaigning out of the storm's path in ohio. >> on the eastern coast of our nation, a lot of people are enduring some very difficult times. and our hearts and our prayers go to them. >> good day. i'm andrea mitchell live in washington. and we are in a special edition today, hurricane sandy growing stronger, reaching what could be historic strength as it heads directly for the northeast. we've got all of our reporters standing by throughout the danger zones with full reports but first, our meteorologist bill karins, live in lower manhattan, bracing for the storm surge tonight. bill, you're down there near battery city and obviously you're looking at tide coming in i guess around 8:30 tonight, is the really first test of just how bad this is going to be? >> yeah. this is slightly scary since this is what it looks like at the low tide, you know. we hit that this morni
. >> i was supposed to be the warmup man for president obama today. but that storm on the east coast had other ideas. >> governor romney canceled his schedule tonight but today he was still campaigning out of the storm's path in ohio. >> on the eastern coast of our nation, a lot of people are enduring some very difficult times. and our hearts and our prayers go to them. >> good day. i'm andrea mitchell live in washington. and we are in a special edition today, hurricane...
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vote for president obama. black men, this entire election might come down to ohio. women are already voting in high numbers. we need do our part. vote for barack obama today. if you don't vote, mitt romney may win and we will have to hear more comments like this. no one's ever asked to see my birth certificate. they know that this is the place that we were born and raised. >> that's not an ofa radio ad. but the very fact that that ad is targeting black men, talking specifically about this ashialized analysis of the president. it talks about the women are out there voting. we got to go. if that were on television, i think people would have strong emotions about it. on radio, you get your listeners. >> you're absolutely right. again, television is multidimensional. people might say, i don't like the complexion of the men they use, look at this or that or the city. where is that? the one thing about radio that's true and always has been, it is theater of the mind. i deliberately sat and listened and concentrated. my mind just immediately, i created my own images. i cre
vote for president obama. black men, this entire election might come down to ohio. women are already voting in high numbers. we need do our part. vote for barack obama today. if you don't vote, mitt romney may win and we will have to hear more comments like this. no one's ever asked to see my birth certificate. they know that this is the place that we were born and raised. >> that's not an ofa radio ad. but the very fact that that ad is targeting black men, talking specifically about this...
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it might of course all come down to ohio. >> obama: thank you ohio! >> oh, my god! >> romney: my guess is that if ohio votes me in as president i'll be the next president of the united states. >> cenk: we have the latest numbers four and we have congressman from ohio on the show today. then we've got one more fun story for you. who do the odds makers think is going to win the whole race? we go to vegas to find out. >> a half hour late for my feeing. as it is, all air traffic in vegas being held up because of a v.i.p. customer in vegas, turns out the president is here for a fundraiser screwing up my day. i'm thinking about this romney guy. >> cenk: well, he might be alone. just wait until we show you the numbers. what my favorite story of the day is, all the pundits are mad at numbers because it shows president obama winning. they're mad at math! that's awesome! it's go time! [ ♪ theme ♪ ] >> obama: hello wisconsin! governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman. >> romney: he has a campaign slogan as moving forward. >> is it wrong for one man to lo
it might of course all come down to ohio. >> obama: thank you ohio! >> oh, my god! >> romney: my guess is that if ohio votes me in as president i'll be the next president of the united states. >> cenk: we have the latest numbers four and we have congressman from ohio on the show today. then we've got one more fun story for you. who do the odds makers think is going to win the whole race? we go to vegas to find out. >> a half hour late for my feeing. as it is, all...